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  • Think tank review
  • 20 aprile 2026

Think Tank Review 140 - April 2026

Photo depicting some trade containers at the background and in front the phrase: The EU is the largest trader in the world representing 15,8% of global trade.
©European Union

EU politics and institutions

The enlargement process is largely covered in reports noting that, if the Union aspires to deliver on the integration of candidate countries, 2026 should be the year when political rhetoric gives way to operational decisions, the resolution of funding issues, internal reforms and the legal preparations needed for the next accession treaty. Papers link enlargement to security/defence issues, claiming that Ukraine's rapid accession and the construction of a genuine European common defence are not separate projects but rather are mutually necessary components of a single strategy to combat rising nationalism and deter external security threats. Given the heterogeneous situations of the Western Balkan states, Ukraine, Moldova and other candidate countries, further publications advocate stepwise integration into the single market, Schengen and selected policies, tied to verifiable reforms and greater financial and political support. In their opinion, that model would allow for differentiated, reversible accession pathways, while allowing the EU time to reform its own institutions and decision-making rules.

European Policy Centre

Thinking enlarged in 2026: leveraging perspectives from future member states

European Policy Centre

Unlocking enlargement and building common defence: next steps for the European Union

Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik (German Council on Foreign Relations)

Europe's next enlargement: what Berlin, Paris, and The Hague really think

Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies

Six ways to better involve national parliaments in EU affairs

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (German Institute for International and Security Affairs)

EU-Erweiterung: sonderfall Ukraine – Regelfall Westbalkan

Ελληνικό Ίδρυμα Ευρωπαϊκής και Εξωτερικής Πολιτικής (Hellenic Foundation for European Foreign Policy)

From Nuuk to Reykjavik: the high North’s geopolitical scramble and the consequences for the EU and its enlargement policy

Istituto Affari Internazionali

Why credible EU membership matters: how to sequence integration and accession in Ukraine and the Western Balkans

Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

EU enlargement – Moving forward with pragmatism

European Policy Centre

Europe in a world of continental powers: why institutional reform has become a geopolitical imperative

Brussels Institute for Geopolitics

Strategic foresight in the EU: the architecture of tomorrow

Utrikespolitiska Institutet (Swedish Institute of International Affairs)

Hungary’s 2026 elections: scenarios and implications for the EU and Ukraine

EU policies

Focusing on space policy issues, certain publications describe the reshaping of space from a specialised industrial domain into a foundational layer of economic competitiveness and geopolitical power. According to forecasts, the global space economy could reach USD1.8 trillion by 2035. To overcome institutional, financial and industrial fragmentation, Europe should compete globally in areas such as launchers, satellite manufacturing and secure connectivity. It should also embrace simplification, capital mobilisation and industrial consolidation to secure its place in the emerging space order. As economic security has become a top priority, the EU and its member states should face the challenges and explore ways forward as the US and China increasingly use their dominant position in the international economy to coerce smaller actors. Papers also focus on the role of central banks, which have become major strategic players in international economic balances. Their influence in the West rests on a unique institutional capacity to create monetary liquidity, enabling the acquisition of assets or the refinancing of banking institutions. In response to this Western financial architecture, China and Russia are accelerating the development of alternative infrastructures such as cross-border payment systems or multilateral digital currency projects. On the environment, reports claim that, to avoid backsliding in the European Green Deal goals, the EU should rethink its approach and place the welfare of all European citizens at the core of its climate policy. The 'Hormuz shock' and what it entails for the EU's gas security and decarbonisation is also discussed, with the solutions proposed including a faster deployment of domestic clean energy, better electricity grids, and a coordinated EU industrial strategy.

Competitiveness (Internal Market, Industry, Research and Space)

Fondation pour l’innovation politique

La guerre par la norme: la régulation, arme économique stratégique

Centre for European Policy Studies

Building a European competitive edge in space

LUISS School of European Political Economy

Intangible assets and the position of European countries in global value chains

Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

Scaling CESEE innovation: Ecosystem dynamics and strategic relocation opportunities

European Council on Foreign Relations

Beijing hold’em: European cards against Chinese coercion

Economic and Financial Affairs

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

Regresando a Sargent: Estados Unidos entonces, Europa ahora

Bertelsmann Stiftung

The devil is in the budget – a comprehensive guide to the MFF negotiations

Svenska institutet för europapolitiska studier (Swedish Institute for European Policy Studies)

EU:s ekonomiska stöd efter pandemin. Stora ambitionaer, oklara resultat

Svenska institutet för europapolitiska studier (Swedish Institute for European Policy Studies)

Governing economic security: challenges and ways forward for the EU and its member states

Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

Crowding in or crowding out? Public and private investment in the Western Balkans

Institut français des relations internationales

Les banques centrales, enjeux et outils des rivalités géopolitiques

Economic and Social Research Institute

The Irish economy in the 2020s

Centre for European Reform

Europe's door to chinese tech investment is still ajar

Centre for European Policy Studies

Savings and investment accounts: the wrapper is easy – the system is not

Centre for European Policy Studies

More finance, less friction: how to simplify the EU’s financial regulation and strengthen supervisory structures

Bruegel

National plans, regional voices: cohesion policy in the next European Union budget

Employment / Social Policy / Health and Consumer Affairs

Economic and Social Research Institute

The impact of a minimum wage increase on employment: evidence from Ireland

Brussels Institute for Geopolitics

Opportunities for Europe’s pharma sector: how AI, pricing pressures and Chinese innovation are redrawing pharma’s map

European Policy Centre

Fostering AI resilience in the EU labour market

European Policy Centre

Migrant labour in Farm-to-Fork: fixing governance gaps, putting dignity at work

European Policy Centre

Divergence in diversity: why women’s health matters

Forum for research on Eastern Europe and Emerging Economies (FREE Network)

Discrimination in work conditions: the case of sexual harassment

Fundación de Estudios de Economía Aplicada

El bono social en energía: análisis y propuestas

RAND Europe

Cost–benefit analysis for synthetic nucleic acid screening in the European Union

Environmental Issues

Institute for Public Policy Research

Apathy and opposition: understanding the real threats to net zero

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

La reconfiguración de la gobernanza climática en 2026

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

There can be no climate policy in Europe without social justice: time for a new approach 

German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS)

Mobilising and scaling up local climate action

Europe Jacques Delors 

Construire une Union pour l'océan: plan directeur pour une loi européenne transformatrice sur l'océan

Brookings Institution

Carbon pricing and inflation expectations

E3G

Facts over fiction: why the EU ETS is key for a competitive, secure Europe

Bruegel

Carbon pricing beyond borders: assessing climate policy spillovers from the EU carbon border adjustment mechanism

Bruegel

Investing for tomorrow: long-term investment, economic scale and the green transition

Justice and Home Affairs

Institut français des relations internationales

(Extra)territorialité des données: quelle souveraineté pour l'Europe ?

European Policy Centre

Developing a new sanctions regime to counter migrant smuggling and human trafficking

Ελληνικό Ίδρυμα Ευρωπαϊκής και Εξωτερικής Πολιτικής (Hellenic Foundation for European Foreign Policy)

Migration trends in Greece: key developments and challenges in 2024 – 2025

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

Tratamiento policial y judicial del terrorismo yihadista en España (2015-2025)

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

La aplicación del Pacto Europeo de migración y asilo: hacia políticas más restrictivas

Fondation Robert Schuman

D'un système de valeurs à un cadre normatif: l'Union européenne, bastion mondial des droits des femmes

Transport / Telecommunications / Energy

Hertie School - Jacques Delors Centre

The EU's digital omnibus is heading in the wrong direction

Fundación de Estudios de Economía Aplicada

Inteligencia artificial: impacto económico, competencia y regulación

Instituto Português de Relações Internacionais

O regulamento dos serviços digitais no contexto do retrocesso democrático

Tænketanken EUROPA

Europe’s quantum challenge: the EU must ensure rapid commercialization without sacrificing cohesion

European Centre for Development Policy Management

Troubled waters: Europe's subsea telecommunications network

Ελληνικό Ίδρυμα Ευρωπαϊκής και Εξωτερικής Πολιτικής (Hellenic Foundation for European Foreign Policy)

The EU’s AI strategy: challenges and the way forward

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

El sector del transporte en la Unión Europea ante un mundo en tensión: descarbonización, competitividad y seguridad

European Council on Foreign Relations

The electric endgame: Europe’s clean path out of vassalage

E3G

Industrial electrification in the EU: blocked by the grid?

E3G

Revision of the governance regulation of the energy union and climate action

Κυπριακό Κέντρο Ευρωπαϊκών και Διεθνών Υποθέσεων (Cyprus Center for European and International Affairs)

Cyprus on the Eastern Mediterranean energy and geopolitical chessboard: from governance inadequacy to strategic autonomy

Centre for European Policy Studies

Building an EU industrial ecosystem of circularity applications for battery packs

Bruegel

Dependence on fossil fuels, not on the United States, is Europe’s worry

Bruegel

The case for a European Union digital enforcement authority

Hertie School - Jacques Delors Centre

From strategy to implementation: building an EU–India AI partnership

Forum for research on Eastern Europe and Emerging Economies (FREE Network)

The Hormuz shock: EU’s gas security and decarbonization fragility

Foreign and security policy / Defence

Papers advocate the adoption of a grand new European security strategy, not just to address President Trump's policy towards Europe, but also to effectively tackle the threat from Russia, the challenge of China, and the issues of the Middle East. In the same vein, strategic autonomy is needed in an age of power politics, meaning capacity and choice, and not isolation. Under a new mindset, Europe should think in terms of power as well as values, building an industrial and security base that can withstand crises. Also, to tackle the challenges arising from Russia's imperialist ambitions, China's economic coercion, and US withdrawal from its commitments on European security, Europe needs higher levels of defence spending to support rearmament and improve military readiness across Europe. This will be possible if governments can gain the public's support. Finally, reports address the question of how the EU can transform itself from an economic giant into a geopolitical powerhouse. This requires the EU to take decisive steps forward to enable the member states and institutions to cooperate more effectively.

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (German Institute for International and Security Affairs)

With, without, against Washington: redefining Europe’s relations with the United States

İstanbul Politikalar Merkezi (Istanbul Policy Center)

After “made in EU”: what comes next for EU-Türki̇ye economic relations?

Bertelsmann Stiftung

Acting without unanimity. How the EU can deliver in MENA: lessons from the Middle East and North Africa on turning fragmentation into strategic leverage

Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies

Strategic autonomy requires a strategic partner: why Europe must expand industrial cooperation with Taiwan

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (German Institute for International and Security Affairs)

Algorithmic migration: how digitalisation and Artificial Intelligence are reshaping global mobility

Trans European Policy Studies Association

Strategic autonomy in an age of power politics

The German Marshall Fund of the United States

The EU-Türkiye interdependence dilemma

Ελληνικό Ίδρυμα Ευρωπαϊκής και Εξωτερικής Πολιτικής (Hellenic Foundation for European Foreign Policy)

Greek economic diplomacy: challenges and opportunities for the future

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

Relaciones UE-India I: la dimensión bilateral de las negociaciones

Geopolitics and Security Studies Center

China and Taiwan competition in central and eastern Europe: foreign policy shifts and implementation limits (2019–2025)

Observer Research Foundation

The EU’s ‘geopolitical actorness’ in the Gulf: purpose, state of play, and potential

Beogradski centar za bezbednosnu politiku (Belgrade Centre for Security Policy)

Friends or foes? External actors and the EU’s Western Balkans policy

Nederlands Instituut voor Internationale Betrekkingen - Clingendael (Netherlands Institute of International Relations)

From economic giant to geopolitical powerhouse? A roadmap towards enhancing the EU’s global clout

European Policy Centre

The virtues of a less incomplete superpower

Forum for research on Eastern Europe and Emerging Economies (FREE Network)

The Hormuz blockade: winners, losers, and vulnerabilities

Utrikespolitiska Institutet (Swedish Institute of International Affairs)

Trump's foreign policy divides the transatlantic far right

Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik (German Council on Foreign Relations)

Allies and partners: the future of relations with China

European Union Institute for Security Studies

China - A fragile power? How Europe can use its economic leverage over Beijing

European Council on Foreign Relations

Borrowed mouths and laundered messages: China’s influence playbook in Europe

Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies

Building comprehensive security: rethinking Europe’s toolbox for peace and conflict transformation

Egmont – Royal Institute for International Relations

A grand new European security strategy

International Institute for Strategic Studies

Advancing European military capacity in space

Fondation Robert Schuman

Les opérations militaires de l'Union européenne - Partie 1

Fondation Robert Schuman

Les opérations militaires de l'Union européenne - Partie 2

Atlantic Council

How the West lost the post-Cold War era

Atlantic Council

How NATO can integrate AI to prevail in future algorithmic warfare

Bruegel

Reforming European defence procurement to boost military innovation and startups

Carnegie Europe

Resetting cyber relations with the United States

Centre for European Reform

How to build public suport for defence spending in Europe

Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier (Danish Institute of International Studies)

The EU in a changing threat landscape at sea

European Council on Foreign Relations

From shield to sword: Europe’s offensive strategy for the hybrid age

European Policy Centre

Cyber sanctions: strengthening EU–UK responses to escalating threats

European Union Institute for Security Studies

Another ‘twist’ on subsea cable repair: developments in Europe and what role, if any, for Ireland

Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung (Friedrich Ebert Foundation)

Europäische Verteidigung: jenseits der Manövertheorie

Geopolitics and Security Studies Center

Security on NATO’s edge: how transatlantic policy shifts affect Lithuania

Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung (Heinrich Böll Foundation)

The European pillar in NATO: from hollow to concrete

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism - The Hague

Hybrid threat signals: assessing possible Iranian involvement in recent attacks in Europe

International Centre for Counter-Terrorism - The Hague

From Tehran to Europe: terrorism risks after the killing of Iran’s Ayatollah

Istituto Affari Internazionali

Meloni’s defence policy: adjusting the balance sheet to crises

Istituto Affari Internazionali

Unlocking strategic potential outside the EU: Italy-Turkey bilateral partnership in defence

Nederlands Instituut voor Internationale Betrekkingen - Clingendael (Netherlands Institute of International Relations)

Powering resilience: why energy innovation matters for European security and defence

Österreichische Gesellschaft für Europapolitik (Austrian Society for European Politics)

Die Stunde der EU-Armee? Eine Policy-Analyse

Polski Instytut Spraw Międzynarodowych (Polish Institute of International Affairs)

(Un)safe waters: the Baltic Sea region and the redefinition of security in Europe

Rahvusvaheline Kaitseuuringute Keskus (International Centre for Defence and Security)

The Russian way of ceasefires and the traps it sets for Europe

Svenska institutet för europapolitiska studier (Swedish Institute for European Policy Studies)

ReArming Europe: what is the current state of affairs?

The German Marshall Fund of the United States

Hybrid threats to democratic processes in the EU’s Eastern neighborhood, Moldova’s 2025 elections

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (German Institute for International and Security Affairs)

Europäische Sahel-Politik: zurück auf Start

European Centre for Development Policy Management

Les compétences vertes en Afrique: ce que l’Europe et la Chine ont à offrir

Institut français des relations internationales

L’aide publique au développement à l’ère de la démondialisation

Centrum Analiz Społeczno-Ekonomicznych (Center for Social and Economic Research)

The role of the WTO in EU trade: state of play ahead of WTO MC14

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (German Institute for International and Security Affairs)

Ankara’s critical view of the EU–India free trade agreement: Turkey is emphatically calling for the modernisation of the customs union with the EU

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

UE-Mercosur y la agricultura europea: temores legítimos y garantías reales

Institut für Weltwirtschaft Kiel (Kiel Institute for the World Economy)

Quantitative trade with ships

Institut für Weltwirtschaft Kiel (Kiel Institute for the World Economy)

Can plurilateral agreements save global free trade?

Global affairs

The attack on Iran and the future of sanctions on Russian oil are analysed, with a hypothesis suggesting a potential positive impact on Russia's oil and gas revenues by narrowing the discount on Russian crude and effectively undermining the effectiveness of sanctions. Also discussed are Operation Epic Fury against Iran and its possible implications for global energy security, the energy transition, and oil supply shock; why China claims Taiwan and why the US is involved; the Iran war in the Middle East and how the states of the region are reacting; the cost of closing the Strait of Hormuz, resulting in energy bottlenecks and global food insecurity; and what the war in Iran means for China.

Institut français des relations internationales

Le Canada de Mark Carney, un an après

Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques

L’autoritarisme est-il une fatalité dans les sociétés du Moyen-Orient et d’Afrique du Nord ?

Brookings Institution

Equality as a guiding principle for US policy on Israel-Palestine

Brookings Institution

Thinking through America’s baseline priorities on Taiwan

Brookings Institution

Perspectives on the US-Mexico relationship, what next?

Brookings Institution

Next steps for GENIUS payment stablecoins: what regulators need to do to make them trusted payments and ensure financial stability

Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich (Centre for Eastern Studies)

Chaos is a blessing: the attack on Iran and the future of sanctions on Russian oil

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Operation Epic Fury and the international law on the use of force

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

The Board of Peace and funding for Gaza reconstruction: on whose account?

E3G

Iran implications for global energy security and transition

Chatham House - The Royal Institute of International Affairs

Breaking the deadlock on AI governance

E3G

Chokepoints: a systemic threat to energy security for oil and gas importers

The German Marshall Fund of the United States

Relocated civic actors: time for a comprehensive support framework

Institute for National Security Studies

The Iran war and the politicization of the US–Israel relationship

Institute for National Security Studies

The Gulf states in the shadow of the war with Iran

European Centre for Development Policy Management

From Brazil to the world: open digital infrastructure for climate cooperation

Brussels Institute for Geopolitics

Geopolitics in the boardroom: risk analysis and anticipation

Institute for Public Policy Research

Britain's strategy for a decade of danger: our nation, our continent, our world

Forum for research on Eastern Europe and Emerging Economies (FREE Network)

Trade diversification, export complexity, and structural transformation in the South Caucasus and Central Asia

Council on Foreign Relations

Taiwan explained: why China claims it, and why the U.S. is involved

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

Vulnerabilidades sistémicas ante la disrupción del estrecho de Ormuz

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

Energía y conflicto en Oriente Medio: actualización de escenarios

Instituto Español de Estudios Estratégicos

La evolución de la gran estrategia de China

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs

Peace through strength? Questioning the Middle East’s (dis)order

Institute for Public Policy Research

Adapt or die: why progressives need to deal with extreme weather

Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung

Krieg im Nahen Osten: wie die Staaten der Region auf die Eskalation zwischen Israel und den USA mit dem Iran reagieren

Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (Centre for European Economic Research)

Did the defend trade secrets act spur the reliance on trade secrets?

Utrikespolitiska Institutet (Swedish Institute of International Affairs)

From oil to minerals: Gulf states as middle powers in the race for critical minerals

Bruegel

What the war in Iran means for China

Bruegel

Tackling India's jobs plight: underutilised levers and lessons from China

Rahvusvaheline Kaitseuuringute Keskus (International Centre for Defence and Security)

The Yin and Yang of Russia’s image in China: netizen discourse and real-life implications

Institut für Weltwirtschaft Kiel (Kiel Institute for the World Economy)

The cost of closing the strait of Hormuz: energy bottlenecks and global food security

Magyar Külügyi Intézet / Hungarian Institute of International Affairs

The Trump doctrine

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