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  • Think tank review
  • 21. května 2025

Think Tank Review - May 2025

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©European Union

EU politics and institutions

Reports dive into the role of the European Council as an institution that routinely intervenes in the EU’s day-to-day law-making, issues mandates to other institutions and member states, and acts actively and assertively throughout all stages of the EU policy process. Papers advance that the EU is at a significant turning point in its trajectory and should therefore not abandon cohesion policy, as regions across the Union face both challenges and opportunities. Instead, cohesion policy should reinforce the EU’s role in challenging centralised decisions that fail to adequately consider their impact on the people and places concerned. Europe appears to be the solution, rather than a problem, as suggested by the March Eurobarometer figures: briefs comment on the historically high approval ratings for the EU, while the nationalist, Eurosceptic parties are steadily gaining ground in the European Parliament and in the member states. What appears to be a paradox can be explained by a shift in the discourse. Even right-wing populists no longer question the EU – a clear triumph for the European idea.

Centre for European Policy Studies

The European Council: truly the law-maker-in-chief?

Centre for European Policy Studies

A decade of EU audit reform – successes, setbacks and what should be done next

European Policy Centre

A test of times: permachange through enlargement and EU reform

Fondation Robert Schuman

Europe appears to be the solution, not the problem

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (German Institute for International and Security Affairs)

Die EU zur Lebensversicherung machen: deutsche Europapolitik in Zeiten des Umbruchs

European Policy Centre

Cohesion policy’s mid-term review: stress-testing regional development in a new EU era

Bertelsmann Stiftung

Cohesion policy in national envelopes: how to integrate partnership

Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich (Centre for Eastern Studies)

Cluster, open up! Ukraine's opportunities and risks on the road to the EU

Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques

Élection présidentielle annulée en Roumanie : la démocratie à l'épreuve des réseaux sociaux

Razumkov Centre / Hanns Seidel Stiftung

Ukraine's European integration: current state, challenges, prospects

EU policies

The EU's tech dilemma under Trump is discussed along with the question of how to set higher ambitions that Europe can actually achieve in the competitiveness area. Reports argue that climate change could trigger debt crises in many countries by lowering growth and increasing the frequency of natural disasters. They speculate on whether some countries could default and which countries are particularly at risk. The idea of a European digital services tax is examined as a potential source of significant revenue. Alternatives are also considered, including a digital permanent establishment tax, a destination-based cash-flow tax, and the extension of VAT to digital transactions. In exploring ways to strengthen the euro's autonomy, papers suggest that the EU could increase the global availability of euro-denominated bonds and bank deposits and advance the implementation of a digital euro. This would improve Europe's monetary and financial infrastructure sovereignty and strengthen the international role of the euro. Papers explain that the new emissions trading system, ETS2, is coupled with a Social Climate Fund in order to protect the most vulnerable people. Papers outline a roadmap to end all Russian gas, since the EU is edging closer to energy independence while juggling security, environmental and economic objectives. They call for a European common strategy on Russian gas, warning that a fragmented approach risks undermining both EU energy security and the green transition.

Competitiveness (Internal Market, Industry, Research and Space)

European Policy Centre

Delivering on Draghi after Munich: a quantum perspective

Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

The future of the EU's competitive position: the role of Central Eastern European countries

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

El clean industrial deal ¿voluntarista o transformador?

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (German Institute for International and Security Affairs)

Die strategische Rohstoffpartnerschaft zwischen der EU und Sambia: Industriekooperation als Schlüssel für Wertschöpfung und langfristige Zusammenarbeit

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute) / Tecnalia

Tecnologías cuánticas: cómo apostar y acertar desde España y la UE

Tænketanken EUROPA

Τhe EU’s tech dilemma under Τrump: how to set higher ambitions that Europe can actually achieve

LUISS School of European Political Economy

Taking the territorial dimension of industrial policy seriously

Economic and Financial Affairs

Bruegel

The quickly fading memory of why and when bank capital is important

Bruegel

Climate change could trigger debt crises, with adaptation providing only partial relief

Centre for European Policy Studies

Towards a European digital services tax: renewing the momentum for a fair contribution

Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

The new EU fiscal framework: implications for public spending on the green and digital transition

Brussels Institute for Geopolitics

Emancipating the euro

Terra nova

De la souveraineté économique européenne et des chemins pour y parvenir

Hertie School - Jacques Delors Centre

Don’t throw it under the Omnibus: the EU needs to make sustainability reporting more effective

Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (German Institute for Economic Research)

Analyse der EZB-Kommunikation verbessert Prognose von Zinsentscheidungen

Istituto Affari Internazionali

Is the digital euro back on track?

Employment / Social Policy / Health and Consumer Affairs

Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

Migration vs. automation as an answer to labour shortages: firm-level analysis for Austria

Notre Europe - Institut Jacques Delors

Faire de la santé une priorité européenne

LUISS School of European Political Economy

Between a rock and a hard place: can Europe leverage the changing geopolitical context to boost its biopharma competitiveness

Environmental Issues

Bruegel

Making the best of the new EU Social Climate Fund

Bruegel

Defence and climate: seven points for a common agenda

Europe Jacques Delors 

A defining year for the ocean: why we need EU leadership for the high seas

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (German Institute for International and Security Affairs)

Scaling industrial carbon dioxide removal: policy options for a short-term strategy

Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE

Climate pledges and greenwashing: information provision does not work

Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE

Mutual funds’ appetite for sustainability in European auto ABS

Institut für Weltwirtschaft Kiel (Kiel Institute for the World Economy)

The security dividend of climate policy

Economic and Social Research Institute

Perceptions of climate change and policy among farmers and the public in Ireland

Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik (German Council on Foreign Relations)

Ein Signal für multilaterale Kooperation

Justice and Home Affairs

Ulkopoliittinen instituutti (Finnish Institute of International Affairs)

Reforming EU return policy: proposed tools appear counterproductive for the Union’s external relations

Notre Europe - Institut Jacques Delors

Une nouvelle stratégie de sécurité intérieure pour l’Union européenne

Svenska institutet för europapolitiska studier (Swedish Institute for European Policy Studies)

The facilitation proposal: assessing the EU’s response to the smuggling of migrants

LUISS School of European Political Economy

Upholding integrity: the causes and trends of corruption risk in Europe

Transport / Telecommunications / Energy

Tænketanken EUROPA

The bidding zone review – to build a genuine energy union, Germany must lead by example

Tænketanken EUROPA

Wanted: the roadmap to ending all Russian gas

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

El reto de la soberanía tecnológica: hacia un ecosistema digital europeo propio

Centre for European Policy Studies

Unpacking the fediverse: what it is, why it matters – and how it could cause a major headache for the DSA

Bruegel

Europe urgently needs a common strategy on Russian gas

Bruegel

Who should be charged? Principles for fair allocation of electricity system costs

Център за изследване на демокрацията (Center for the Study of Democracy)

Ending the state central planning model in the electricity sector

Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik (German Council on Foreign Relations)

Quantum technologies: ranking Germany’s ambition and international reputation

Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik (German Council on Foreign Relations)

Energy policy between war and peace

Forum for research on Eastern Europe and Emerging Economies (FREE Network)

Complementary but different: the politics of green industrial policy and carbon pricing

Institut français des relations internationales

Startups européennes et IA générative: dépasser la domination des Big Tech

Institut français des relations internationales

La dimension stratégique de la flexibilité des systèmes électriques

Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques

Pipeline politics: Algeria, Italy and the great game in north Africa

Europe Jacques Delors 

Steering the shipping sector’s decarbonisation

Fondation Robert Schuman

The end of the energy price crisis must not mean the end of the energy transition

Bertelsmann Stiftung

EuroStack: Sicherstellung der digitalen Souveränität Europas

Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (Centre for European Economic Research)

No place like home: charging infrastructure and the environmental advantage of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles

Centre for European Reform

Power losses: what's holding back European electricity trade?

Foreign and security policy / Defence

Donald Trump's return to office is seen as ushering in economic and geopolitical shifts. Papers argue that the EU should respond by bolstering its defence capabilities, diversifying trade partnerships and deepening economic integration to navigate the changing global landscape. Briefs also analyse the cybersecurity and defence dimensions of sixth-generation (6G) networks and explore ways to rally EU enlargement for defence by creating tailored roadmaps which would help candidate countries align with EU security standards and contribute to collective defence efforts. Other topics discussed are: the governance and funding of European rearmament; an initial assessment of the economic impact of the US's tariffs on Europe and what the dual challenge of China and the US means for the EU's economic security.

Epicenter - European Policy Information Center

Donald Trump’s return to office ushers in economic and geopolitical shifts: the expected impact of Donald Trump’s second term on the American economy and the EU

Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies

Make the West great again? Ukraine, Israel and the appropriation of the West by European populists

European Union Institute for Security Studies

Getting the information threat right: systematic analysis of media ecosystems can strengthen the EU’s fight against information manipulation

Peterson Institute for International Economics

Destined for division? US and EU responses to the challenge of Chinese overcapacity

Centrum Stosunków Międzynarodowych (Center for International Relations)

Indie-Unia Europejska: Coraz bliżej umowy handlowej

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

A turning point, or not? Principles for a new European order

European Council on Foreign Relations

Multi-pole-arity: how Poland can help Europen think big on China

The German Marshall Fund of the United States

Central and Eastern Europe in the global economic fragmentation

European Centre for Development Policy Management

The NDICI-Global Europe mid-term review exercise in sub-Saharan Africa: lessons for the future

European Centre for Development Policy Management

The Lobito corridor: between European geopolitics and African agency

Brussels Institute for Geopolitics

The EU’s Mackinder moment

Bruegel

Make finance part of the EU-UK post-Brexit reset

Център за изследване на демокрацията (Center for the Study of Democracy)

Ilicit financial flows and strategic corruption

Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

The EU’s and China’s grants and loans in the Western Balkans

European Think Tanks Group 

Energy and climate finance in the context of the EU–North Africa partnership

Ulkopoliittinen instituutti (Finnish Institute of International Affairs)

The EU in an age of empires: a liberal geopolitical force in the making?

Egmont – Royal Institute for International Relations

From Syria to the black sea: containing Russia, partnering with Turkey?

Observer Research Foundation

Europe under Trump 2.0: in search of an end to its slow agony

Egmont – Royal Institute for International Relations

Europe’s strategic imperative: advancing sustainability for global stability

Utrikespolitiska Institutet (Swedish Institute of International Affairs)

6G: Cybersecurity and defence implications

Utrikespolitiska Institutet (Swedish Institute of International Affairs)

Nuclear arms control, non-proliferation and disarmament in the Nordic region: Lessons from the past and possible routes ahead

Fundación de Estudios de Economía Aplicada

Sobre el Plan ReArm Europe / Readiness 2030: (I) la activación de la cláusula de escape nacional

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

La mejor opción para Europa es hacerse cargo de su propia seguridad y defensa

European Council on Foreign Relations

Strength in members: how to rally EU enlargement for defence

RAND Europe

Conceptualising digital capability: enabling NATO digital capabilities

Centre for European Policy Studies

From free-riders to front-loaders: why the EU’s defence awakening must be matched by economic coherence

Bruegel

The governance and funding of European rearmament

Rahvusvaheline Kaitseuuringute Keskus (International Centre for Defence and Security)

Russia’s hybrid attacks in Europe: from deterrence to attribution to response 

Carnegie Europe

A turning point, or not? Principles for a new European order

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

Non-proliferation, nuclear technology and peaceful uses: examining the role and impact of export controls

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

The EU as a key player in multilateral forums on space security: perspectives for the OEWG 2025–28

Institut français des relations internationales

Sous le feu des normes: comment encadrer sans désarmer la défense européene ?

Institut français des relations internationales

L’essor de l’armement turc : un catalyseur pour une nouvelle alliance entre la Turquie et l’Union européenne?

Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques

Three trajectories for defence spending in the EU and their consequences for the European industry and capabilities

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (German Institute for International and Security Affairs)

Strengthening Europe’s capacity to act in foreign and security policy: securitisation cannot solve the EU’s decision-making trap

Center for European Policy Analysis

Defend in the cloud: boost NATO data resilience

Ελληνικό Ίδρυμα Ευρωπαϊκής και Εξωτερικής Πολιτικής (Hellenic Foundation for European Foreign Policy)

A deep dive in the white paper on the future of European defence

European Institute for Asian Studies

EU-South Korea-Japan: revitalizing defence and security ties in a changing geopolitical landscape

European Union Institute for Security Studies

Doing resilience better, with less: the cornerstone of the EU’s Eastern policy needs rethinking

Centrum Analiz Społeczno-Ekonomicznych (Center for Social and Economic Research)

Eastern European economies amidst global and regional shocks

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

Renovar el compromiso, redefinir las soluciones: propuestas para la posición española en la agenda de la financiación al desarrollo

Institut für Weltwirtschaft Kiel (Kiel Institute for the World Economy)

Trade wars and currency wars – lessons from history

Peterson Institute for International Economics

Alignment or misalignment? US and EU high-tech trade and sanctions policies toward China

Institut für Weltwirtschaft Kiel (Kiel Institute for the World Economy)

The consequences of the Trump trade war for Europe

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

El shock arancelario global de Trump

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

La ira arancelaria de Trump y sus dimensiones imprevistas en los mercados financieros globales

Centre for European Policy Studies

EU economic security: confronting the dual challenge of China and the US

Bruegel

Ending European Union imports of Russian uranium

Bruegel

The economic impact of Trump’s tariffs on Europe: an initial assessment

European Policy Centre

Facing off Trump’s coercive bargaining: preparing Europe’s response and retaliation to ‘Liberation Day'

E3G

Pursuing a proactive green trade agenda in a multipolar world: a framework for strengthening EU bilateral trade relationships

Global affairs

Papers try to analyse the Arctic great game, by examining what attracts global attention to the region, identifying the key players, and discussing how will this 'great game' will likely evolve and what the consequences will be for the world. Briefs look at Russia's strategic and military thinking, at how China-India relations will shape Asia and the global order and also comment on the broken hegemony, referring to USA-China rivalry in the new era of power politics. Regarding the recent incidents between India and Pakistan, reports describe the Indus water treaty as 'in abeyance', indicating a strategic pause, not a legal breach.

Institute for National Security Studies

Strategic alternatives for the Gaza strip

Institute for National Security Studies

Tensions around Taiwan: summary of 2024

Observer Research Foundation

India-Pakistan tensions after Pahalgam: a Kautilyan perspective

Utrikespolitiska Institutet (Swedish Institute of International Affairs)/ Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS)

How close is peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan?

Utrikespolitiska Institutet (Swedish Institute of International Affairs)/ Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies (SCEEUS)

The political fallout from Armenia’s refugee response

Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich (Centre for Eastern Studies)

No prospect for stability: internal and regional drivers of the situation in Syria

Institut für Weltwirtschaft Kiel (Kiel Institute for the World Economy)

Sovereign vs. corporate debt and default: more similar than you yhink

Nederlands Instituut voor Internationale Betrekkingen - Clingendael (Netherlands Institute of International Relations)

Dealing with authoritarian security providers: risks and possibilities

Türkiye Ekonomi Politikaları Araştırma Vakfı (Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey)

The impending global tariff war: can crisis be turned into opportunity for India?

Türkiye Ekonomi Politikaları Araştırma Vakfı (Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey)

Trump’s second term: a stress test for American democracy and global leadership

Observer Research Foundation

The Arctic great game: the need for cautious optimism

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute

Clearing the path for nuclear disarmament: confidence-building in the Korean peninsula

Observer Research Foundation

Indus treaty in “abeyance”: a strategic pause, not a legal breach

Observer Research Foundation

A trio to tame Trump

Utrikespolitiska Institutet (Swedish Institute of International Affairs)

Geocultural power in foreign policy

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

Hegemonía quebrada: la rivalidad entre Estados Unidos y China en la nueva era de la política de fuerza

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

La ley del más fuerte y el factor miedo: Trump redefine el orden internacional

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

Claves del acuerdo de Argentina con el FMI: lo clásico como novedad

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

100 días de Trump: testando el sistema

Real Instituto Elcano (Elcano Royal Institute)

Cincuenta años de ciclos económicos y políticos en América Latina: el “voto del bolsillo” sigue mandando

Institut français des relations internationales

Canada: le grand réveil ?

Ulkopoliittinen instituutti (Finnish Institute of International Affairs)

Geostrategic thinking and quantum technology: how promises of quantum technology breakthroughs shape Sino-US rivalry

Institut français des relations internationales

Le Japon et les Philippines, alliés « privilégiés » des États-Unis en indo-pacifique ?

International Crisis Group

A rebel border: India’s evolving ties with Myanmar after the coup

Egmont – Royal Institute for International Relations

Silence in the Sahel does not equal stability

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (German Institute for International and Security Affairs)

G20 debt negotiations: what can the African Union achieve?

Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (German Institute for International and Security Affairs)

Israel’s Radical Government

Center for European Policy Analysis

Russia’s strategy and military thinking: evolving discourse by 2025

Chatham House - The Royal Institute of International Affairs

How China-India relations will shape Asia and the global order

Center for Strategic and International Studies

Space threat assessment 2025

Rahvusvaheline Kaitseuuringute Keskus (International Centre for Defence and Security)

Distance is not a shield: Russia’s transnational repression in wartime

Österreichische Institut für Internationale Politik (Austrian Institute for International Affairs)

Neue Geopolitik am Balkan: wie Drittstatten wie China und Russland zur Autokratisierung und neuen Unsicherheiten beitragen und die fragile Sicherheitsordnung bedrohen?

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